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Sports Betting Techniques and Techniques

Sports Betting Techniques and Techniques

The betting market is gradually taking over the gaming universe. Numerically, very few bettors end up making a profit since not everybody is blessed with a strategic betting technique that enables them to scrutinize and assess the bets they take in a careful manner. Every day, the leading bookmakers are presented with thousands of wagers that their users place; they do this primarily in the absence of an efficiently established system of betting, and this results in roughly 90% of the wagers being losing wagers. As a beginner, looking at a list of online bookmakers can inform you on where to start and what sites offer better odds and betting choices.

Having a strategy when placing bets is essential, because the probability of winning, through a well-structured method, becomes much higher. On our betting sites, we’ve prepared a guide to the best sports betting methods for you!

Introduction to the Concept of PAYBACK and BANKROLL

There is no betting strategy that guarantees a 100% win, but there are various methods which, if used wisely, can certainly increase the probability of success.

Bookmaker gives odds on every sports event based on the probability of a team's win. If a bet is placed on an event with a high probability of occurrence, then the return will be very low because of low odds. However, an event with fewer chances of occurrence will be offered with bigger odds. These probabilities are further influenced by other variables, which can be only approximated closer to the game, such as team form, suspended players, or injuries.

Two fundamental principles must always be kept in mind from this: payback and bankroll.

  • Payback is the bookmaking shop or online bookmaker refund if the punter is successful.
  • Bankroll is the amount of money a punter is willing to risk or commit to their betting activity.

To make an effective betting strategy, everything starts with bankroll management. So that a good system can be profited from and refined, all punters need to know something about the size of their bankroll, how to allocate it, and most importantly, when to invest it.

VALUE BET: What It Is and Why It's Important

One of the first pieces of advice, aside from the various approaches that will be discussed later, is to research the event on which you want to bet and not necessarily only stick to the bookmaker's odds. It is always important for bettors to aim for bets they see value for, and this is where the value bet fits in.

Value bet is a measure of risk that measures whether or not betting on an event is profitable. It allows you to know if the bookie's odds are profitable. To calculate it, you find the bookie's odds over the probability of a successful result (a percentage). If the result of the formula is greater than 1, then it's a value bet, i.e., favorable. If less than 1, there's a high chance of loss.

One more thing to be remembered is that bookies do not update odds in real time. A smart bettor must always be one step ahead by knowing what the recent data on the event is.

Betting Methods

After some general concepts regarding sports betting, let's discuss different methods and their winning probability.

System Betting

The most favorite method is system betting. Here, the bettor ensures maximum chances of winning by wagering on a number of results within one system.

  • Integral bets allow for the prediction of multiple outcomes for the singular event, with bonuses awarded if successful predictions are made. Example: betting on the favourite team to win, and simultaneously that the underdog would score. Even if the favourite team wins but conceded a goal, both predictions can hit.
  • Correction systems enable the player to win even if one or more predictions are wrong. For instance, in a system of 8 events, a win of 6 or 7 can still be profitable. 

Progressive 3 System

This method is to select two or three events with a total odd of 3, and wager a fixed amount. Upon success of the wager, the player repeats the process with the same amount. In case of failure, the subsequent wager is increased 1.5 times the previous amount until there is a success, aiming to reach about 30% profit.

Parlay Method

Here, the bettor invests winnings from every successful bet, increasing stakes incrementally. The system is rewarding during a sequence of wins since the gain builds up without tapping the initial bankroll, but it is risky in the event a sequence of losses begins.

Pong Method (Draw, Over, and No Goal)

This combined method combines fixed stakes with a game where a bet is placed on a draw, over, and no goal. Two of the three conditions are sure to occur and thus good profits are assured.

Trotto Method

Also referred to as the low-odds winning plan, it's utilized extensively in sports gambling. The bettor bets small stakes (say, €2) on events with odds of 1.5–1.7. If they lose, the stake takes a progression (2-6-16-45-65).

1.8 Method

This approach helps protect against losing streaks while making profit in the long run. With probability of 1.8 and about 55% chances of winning, over 10 bets expectation is 6 wins and 4 losses. Equalizing results by splitting bankroll across these bets stabilizes results.

d'Alembert Method

This method decreases the wager after winning and raises it after losing, balancing outcomes in the long term. Optimal bankroll utilization is required in this scenario.

Fibonacci Method

Based on the Fibonacci sequence (1-2-3-5-8-13-21-34), this method applies to medium-to-high odds. Stakes increase along the sequence after losses and decrease one step back after wins.

Final Considerations

We’ve explored various betting strategies that can help bettors approach sports events more wisely. These systems should be considered as guidelines which, if followed intelligently and responsibly, may lead to consistent—though modest—profits.

Remember always: responsible betting is the way, because there is no 100% assurance of winning.

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Salve, sono Luigi Giordano, webmaster e appassionato di poker online.
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